A Zavecz Research poll (Jan 19–24) published on Telex finds opposition Tisza leading Fidesz by 49% to 39% among decided voters, a 10-point advantage. Tisza is especially strong with voters under 39 (41% vs 22%), while Fidesz leads among those over 59 and among respondents with only primary education. The April 12 parliamentary election is viewed as pivotal for Hungary's domestic path and its role within the EU.
Tisza Holds 10-Point Lead Over Orbán’s Fidesz — Strong Support Among Young Voters
FILE PHOTO: Peter Magyar, leader of the opposition TISZA party, delivers a speech to mark the 69th anniversary of the Hungarian Uprising of 1956, in Budapest, Hungary, October 23, 2025. REUTERS/Bernadett Szabo /File Photo
A new Zavecz Research poll conducted between January 19–24 and published on Telex shows Hungary's centre-right opposition coalition, Tisza, holding a 10-percentage-point lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz among decided voters. The survey highlights a pronounced generational split: Tisza leads comfortably among younger voters while Fidesz retains strength with older and less-educated voters.
Poll Details
Among decided voters, Tisza received 49% support (up from 47% in November), while Fidesz garnered 39% (up from 38%). Far-right Mi Hazánk (Our Homeland) polled at 5%. The poll found Tisza commanding 41% support versus 22% for Fidesz among voters under 39, while Fidesz led 38% to 35% among those over 59. Respondents with only primary-school education favored Fidesz 38% to 27% for Tisza.
Political Context
Prime Minister Orbán, in power since 2010, faces what many observers describe as his most serious electoral challenge in 16 years ahead of the parliamentary vote scheduled for April 12. The result is widely seen as having implications not only for Hungary's domestic direction but also for the balance of power among centre-right and far-right movements across Europe.
Orbán—an often-controversial figure who has clashed repeatedly with the European Union over alleged democratic backsliding, a charge he rejects—has sought to frame the election as a choice between security and instability. Tisza, led by former government insider Péter Magyar, has campaigned on promises to curb corruption, unlock billions in frozen EU funds to stimulate the economy, and reinforce Hungary's ties with the European Union.
What To Watch
- April 12 parliamentary election outcome and its impact on Hungary's EU relations.
- Turnout among younger voters, where Tisza leads by a wide margin.
- Differences between independent polls and pro-government polling firms, which sometimes report a Fidesz advantage.
Reporting: Zavecz Research poll (Jan 19–24), published by Telex. Percentages refer to decided voters. Editing and commentary summarize the poll's main findings and political implications.
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