More in Common's weekly poll shows Labour on 28%, overtaking Reform UK at 24% for the first time since March 2025. The rise has been called the 'Burnham Bounce', linked to Andy Burnham's first week as prime minister. The Conservatives are at 22%, while the Greens fell three points, a move that may redirect progressive votes back to Labour.
Labour Moves Ahead as 'Burnham Bounce' Lifts Support to 28%
Support for the incumbent Labour Party has edged ahead of the far-right Reform UK in the latest weekly More in Common poll, marking the first time Labour has led Reform since March 2025. Labour registers 28% support, Reform sits at 24%, and the Conservatives trail at 22%. The Greens fell three points in the same poll.
Poll Details
The weekly survey by More in Common shows a modest but notable shift in voter intentions after Andy Burnham became prime minister. Commentators and party insiders have dubbed the uptick in Labour's numbers the 'Burnham Bounce', attributing it to a positive response to Burnham's first week in office.
What This Could Mean
The three-point lead over Reform is significant given Reform UK's surge in previous months, and the drop in Green support may be returning some progressive voters to Labour. However, this is a single weekly poll and should be read alongside other polls and longer-term trends before drawing firm conclusions about the broader electoral picture.
Note: Polls are snapshots of opinion at a specific time. Small shifts can reflect short-term reactions rather than long-term changes in voter loyalty.
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