A Civey poll for the Tagesspiegel puts The Left (Die Linke) in the lead in Berlin at 21%, with the CDU on 19% and the AfD on 18%, six weeks before the 20 September state election. The Greens are at 17% and the SPD at 12% in the survey of around 3,000 respondents (±3.5 percentage points). A contrasting Insa poll published on 23 July showed the AfD ahead, underscoring polling volatility ahead of the vote. Analysts say the outcome remains uncertain as three regional elections take place in September.
The Left Leads Berlin Poll at 21% as State Election Nears — CDU Close Behind
FILE PHOTO - Members of the Left Party hold up campaign signs at Anton-Saefkow-Platz during an election rally in Berlin. The event marks the official start of the party's campaign ahead of the Berlin House of Representatives election. (is associated with: «Germany's far-left party leads Berlin poll ahead of state election») Sebastian Gollnow/dpa
A new Civey poll commissioned by the Tagesspiegel shows The Left (Die Linke) leading Berlin voting intention at 21%, six weeks before the state election on 20 September.
The conservative Christian Democrats (CDU), led by Friedrich Merz, are polling at 19%, placing them narrowly behind The Left. The far‑right Alternative for Germany (AfD) stands at 18% (up 1 point), while the Greens remain at 17%. The centre‑left Social Democrats (SPD) trail at 12%.
Poll Details
The survey of around 3,000 respondents was conducted between 20 July and 3 August. The maximum reported margin of error is ±3.5 percentage points, and Civey recorded a two‑point rise for The Left since early July.
Contrasting Polls
A separate Insa survey published on 23 July — commissioned by the Nius news portal — produced different results, putting the AfD in first place on 19%, with the CDU and The Left tied on 18% each, the Greens on 16% and the SPD on 13%.
Berlin's state election on 20 September is one of three regional votes that month, alongside Saxony‑Anhalt and Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern. Pollsters and analysts expect the AfD to make significant gains in several states.
Opinion polls remain subject to uncertainty: declining party loyalty and increasingly late voting decisions make accurate weighting more difficult for polling institutes.
With close numbers and contrasting surveys, the race in Berlin remains fluid as voters head to the polls in September.
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