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Poll Analyst: Trump's 'Worst 10 Days' — Approval Plummets Among Independents and on Inflation

Poll Analyst: Trump's 'Worst 10 Days' — Approval Plummets Among Independents and on Inflation

Harry Enten, a poll analyst, said President Trump appears to have suffered his "worst 10 days" in the polls of his second term, calling the results "atrocious." Five November polls put Trump's net approval between -14 and -26. Enten pointed to a collapse among independent voters (from -4 in January to -43 in November) and a sharp fall on the inflation issue (from +3 to -37) as key drivers. He warned these trends could put Republican majorities at risk and noted recent scandals may push numbers lower.

Poll analyst Harry Enten said Friday that President Donald Trump appears to have endured his "worst 10 days" in the polls during his second term, calling the recent numbers "atrocious." Enten reviewed five November surveys showing consistently negative net approval figures and warned that the trends pose serious risks for Republican control of Congress.

Polling snapshot: Enten cited five November polls with Trump’s net approval ranging from -14 (Marquette) to -26 (AP-NORC). Other surveys placed him at -17 (Fox), -17 (Marist) and -22 (Ipsos/Reuters). "When your best poll still has you 14 points underwater, you know it's truly bad," he said.

"And when it’s as bad as 26 points underwater, we’re talking about an average well, well, well underwater — in the deep blue sea, swimming with the fishes." — Harry Enten

Enten highlighted two main drivers behind the decline. First, Trump’s favorability among independent voters has collapsed: it stood at -4 in January and had fallen to -43 by November. "When you’re 43 points underwater with independents, you know you’re doing terribly," Enten said, adding that if the trend holds, House and Senate Republican majorities could be in jeopardy.

The second factor is public perception on inflation. Enten playfully shoved co-host John Berman aside on camera to make the point, then noted that Trump’s inflation favorability swung from +3 in January to -37 in November. "It’s the cost of living, baby," Enten said. "That’s a dramatic 37-point move in the wrong direction."

Over the week Enten had flagged additional warning signs for Republicans, including a reported shift among Latino voters away from Trump and a Democratic edge among voters who describe themselves as "certain" to vote. He also cautioned that the November polls he reviewed were fielded before a series of recent controversies involving the president, which could further depress support in future surveys.

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