The AP-NORC poll of 2,596 adults (April 16-20) shows rising dissatisfaction with President Trump among several groups that helped elect him in 2024, especially Hispanic voters, Americans under 45 and men. Hispanic approval has dropped about 16 points since March 2025, and approval among under-45s fell from 39% to 28%. Republicans still broadly support Trump, but enthusiasm is concentrated among MAGA-identifying Republicans.
AP-NORC Poll: Key Voter Groups Growing Less Satisfied With Trump After One Year
FILE - Supporters hold a sign before Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump arrives to speak during a campaign event, Sept.12, 2024, in Tucson, Ariz. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)(ASSOCIATED PRESS)
WASHINGTON — A new AP-NORC survey finds that several voter blocs that helped return Donald Trump to the White House in 2024 have grown noticeably less satisfied with his performance more than a year into his second term.
FILE - Alicia DeVinney of Phoenixville, Pa., shows off her MAGA rings ahead of the 60th Presidential Inauguration, Jan. 19, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Mike Stewart, File)(ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Polling Context
The AP-NORC poll of 2,596 adults was conducted April 16-20 using NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, designed to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for adults overall is plus or minus 2.6 percentage points. The survey was taken as oil prices shifted and Americans were paying more at the pump, and amid tensions stemming from the Iran conflict.
FILE - Attendees gather as the "Latino Americans for Trump" office opens in Reading, Pa., Wednesday, June 12, 2024. (AP Photo/Joe Lamberti)(ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Who Is Moving Away — And Why
Hispanic Voters: Approval among Hispanic adults has fallen about 16 percentage points since March 2025, to roughly one-quarter who now approve of Trump’s overall job performance. Hispanics rate the president poorly on immigration (about 25% approve, down from 36% at the start of his term) and on economic issues: roughly one-quarter approve of his handling of the economy and only about two in ten approve of his approach to the cost of living. Only about two in ten Hispanic adults describe the national economy as "good."
FILE - Supporters of Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump sign a bus before a campaign rally at the Butler Farm Show, Oct. 5, 2024, in Butler, Pa. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson, File)(ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Younger Voters: Approval among Americans under 45 has slid from 39% in March 2025 to 28% in the latest measure. Younger women are particularly negative about Trump’s economic record: about two in ten women under 45 approve of his handling of the economy, and just 7% of younger Hispanic women approve. Younger Hispanic adults are also much less favorable on immigration, with only 18% approving of his approach compared with about 40% approval among Americans overall.
FILE - Supporters of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump wait for the start of a rally in Westfield, Ind., July 12, 2016. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy, File)(ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Men: Men — a key part of Trump’s 2024 coalition — have become less approving of his performance, with support dropping from 47% near the start of his second term to 38% in the most recent poll. Black men stand out for their low ratings: only about one in ten approve of his handling of the cost of living, and roughly two in ten approve of his handling of the economy. Hispanic men give Trump tepid ratings (about three in ten approve), while white men remain the most supportive group (about half approve).
Republican Base And MAGA
Republican loyalty continues to buoy the president, but there are signs of erosion. Roughly two-thirds of Republicans approve of Trump’s job performance now, down from about 82% near the start of his second term. Pocketbook issues are a pain point: only about half of Republicans approve of his handling of the cost of living, and a majority of Republicans under 45 disapprove on that question.
MAGA Republicans: Trump remains extremely popular among self-identified MAGA Republicans: about nine in ten approve of his overall job performance, and a similar share back his handling of Iran. However, only about 54% of Republicans identify as MAGA, and approval among non-MAGA Republicans is substantially lower (about 44%).
Bottom Line
The AP-NORC trend data indicate dissatisfaction has been building within several key segments — Hispanic voters, younger adults and men — for months. While Trump retains strong support from his core MAGA base and a majority of Republicans overall, slippage in these groups suggests challenges ahead if those trends continue.
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