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Will Higher Education Rebound in 2026? Why Public Trust Says Probably Not

Will Higher Education Rebound in 2026? Why Public Trust Says Probably Not

Public confidence in U.S. higher education is falling as many question whether expensive college degrees deliver value. Polling shows nearly two‑thirds of registered voters now say a four‑year degree is not worth the cost, while about 70% believe higher education is heading in the wrong direction. Critics cite grade inflation, a surge in accommodations, ideological conformity, and tuition hikes above inflation. The author urges candid leadership, concrete reforms, and renewed commitment to intellectual rigor to restore trust.

College students are heading home for the holidays after another semester whose academic value many question. Parents continue to shoulder steep tuition bills while students prioritize social life and campus traditions, and a growing share of the public now questions whether lofty tuition and heavy student debt deliver sensible returns.

Public Sentiment and Polling

The decline in public confidence in U.S. higher education is widespread and appears to be accelerating. Recent polling finds nearly two-thirds of registered voters say a four‑year college degree is “not worth the cost,” a drop of roughly 23 percentage points from a dozen years ago. Data from the Pew Research Center show about 70% of Americans think higher education is “going in the wrong direction,” up about 14 percentage points in five years.

Academic Standards and Grade Inflation

Critics point to pervasive grade inflation and a tendency among some professors to soften assessments to avoid conflict. Colleges now award a disproportionate number of high grades, a trend sometimes framed as equity but that raises questions about academic rigor and whether grades still reliably reflect student mastery.

Accommodations and Real‑World Readiness

The number of students receiving testing accommodations—extra time or reduced‑distraction testing environments—has surged at many institutions. While some students clearly benefit from accommodations, reporting suggests those numbers have increased dramatically in a short timeframe at certain campuses, prompting debate about overuse and the workplace applicability of such allowances.

Ideological Climate and Intellectual Diversity

Another concern is the perceived narrowing of intellectual diversity on some campuses. Critics argue that activist-oriented curricula, ideological homogeneity among faculty, and policies that chill debate have replaced a robust marketplace of ideas. As Walter Lippmann warned, "Where all think alike, no one thinks very much." Such conditions, if accurate, undermine the fundamental educational purpose of higher learning.

“He who knows only his own side of the case knows little of that.” — John Stuart Mill

Costs, Accountability and Leadership

Despite these concerns, tuition at many colleges has continued to rise faster than general inflation. That disconnect between rising price and perceived value has eroded parental and public trust. Observers place responsibility with college leaders and governing boards for failing to explain cost increases, defend curricular choices, or demonstrate how institutions prepare students for success.

What Needs to Change

Rebuilding confidence will require candid leadership. College administrators should explain how institutions drifted from their missions, outline concrete steps to restore academic standards and intellectual openness, and communicate those reforms transparently to the public. Restoring a clear educational mission and fostering open inquiry are essential to regaining parental and societal trust.

Jeffrey McCall is a professor of communication at DePauw University.

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