STOCKHOLM, Sept 16 (Reuters) - Sweden's centre-left opposition has narrowly defeated the incumbent right-wing governing bloc, public broadcaster SVT reported on Wednesday after 99% of ballots from Sunday's parliamentary election had been counted.
An election workers counts early votes and overseas votes at Stockholm City Hall, in Stockholm, Sweden, September 16, 2026. TT News Agency/Christine Olsson via REUTERS
At 16:47 GMT the margin between the two blocs stood at just 26,169 votes. With fewer than 1% of districts still to report, parties led by opposition leader Magdalena Andersson of the Social Democrats appeared poised to secure 175 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag, signalling a likely change of government.
Election workers count early votes and overseas votes at Stockholm City Hall, in Stockholm, Sweden, September 16, 2026. TT News Agency/Christine Olsson via REUTERS
“The likelihood of a turnaround at this stage is so low that we can confidently state that the opposition will secure the most seats in this election,” SVT said.
Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's right-wing governing bloc, which includes the far-right Sweden Democrats, was on track to win 174 seats, according to data from Sweden's election authority. The result is therefore one of the tightest in modern Swedish politics.
Leader of the opposition and the Swedish Social Democratic Party Magdalena Andersson and Party Secretary Tobias Baudin join hands as the general election's voting results are released in Stockholm, Sweden, September 14, 2026. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse
The election authority is continuing to count late-arriving ballots from domestic postal returns and voters overseas; it said the process could continue until Thursday before all ballots are finalised. That final count could still narrow the margin, but a reversal at this stage is considered unlikely.
The narrow margin underscores both the competitiveness of the vote and the influence of smaller parties in Sweden's multi-party system. Political analysts say coalition negotiations and parliamentary arithmetic will determine the next government's composition once the count is complete.
Reporting by Johan Ahlander, Anna Ringstrom and Terje Solsvik; editing by Niklas Pollard and Alex Richardson.