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Madrid Rejects Claims It Ignored CNI Warnings Ahead of Massive Ceuta Migrant Surge

Madrid Rejects Claims It Ignored CNI Warnings Ahead of Massive Ceuta Migrant Surge
Migrants sit on the beach in Ceuta. Migrants who have managed to swim to Ceuta in recent days are returning of their own accord to the Moroccan side, to the town of Castillejos. (is associated with: «Madrid denies intelligence service warning over the Ceuta crisis») Jesús Torres/EUROPA PRESS/dpa

Madrid denies that the CNI warned of the sudden migrant influx into Ceuta, saying no intelligence predicted a crisis of this scale. Authorities report 72 bodies recovered while regional officials claim at least 88. Arrival estimates vary widely — Madrid ~50,000, regional president 80,000, Morocco ~40,000 — and about 2,500 migrants remain in Ceuta as repatriation and recovery operations continue. Political debate has intensified over intelligence, preparedness and responsibility.

Spain's central government in Madrid has denied accusations that it ignored warnings from the CNI intelligence service about a sudden, massive influx of migrants into the Spanish exclave of Ceuta on the Moroccan coast.

On Monday, officials said the CNI did not send reports forecasting a migration crisis on the scale that occurred, and the government has rejected suggestions it failed to act. Government spokeswoman Elma Saiz said:

"No one had anticipated such an unprecedented event."

Humanitarian and Recovery Efforts Under Way

Authorities in Ceuta continue to shelter remaining migrants, carry out repatriation operations and search for additional victims. The Spanish Ministry of the Interior reports that 72 bodies have been recovered so far, primarily off the exclave's coast in the Strait of Gibraltar. Regional officials, however, say the toll may be higher — claiming at least 88 bodies have been found.

Wide Discrepancies in Arrival Figures

Estimates of how many migrants reached Ceuta vary widely. Madrid maintains an estimate of about 50,000 arrivals, while the regional president, Juan Jesús Vivas, has revised his figure to 80,000 (up from 60,000). Moroccan authorities reported roughly 40,000 people attempted to reach Ceuta. Many migrants entered irregularly by swimming ashore or climbing the six-metre border fence.

The majority of those who crossed have since returned to Morocco. The central government says roughly 2,500 migrants remain in Ceuta and that repatriation operations are ongoing.

Political Fallout

Miguel Tellado, spokesman for the opposition conservative People's Party (PP), questioned whether the CNI could have been unaware of an approaching "human wave," intensifying scrutiny of intelligence and border preparedness. The government continues to defend its response amid calls for further investigation and clarity on the divergent figures.

As repatriation and recovery efforts continue, tensions persist between central and regional authorities over data, responsibility and the handling of what officials on all sides describe as an unprecedented event.

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