President Trump claimed unspecified "great poll numbers" on Truth Social but did not name a source. The New York Times polling average shows 59% disapproval and approval falling from 41% to 38%. Data analysts Nate Silver and CNN’s Harry Enten say Trump’s net approval has hit a new second-term low (‑20.6) and cited major drops tied to the Iran war and the economy.
Trump Boasts Unspecified 'Great Poll Numbers' as Approval Falls to New Second-Term Low
Alex Brandon/AP Photo
President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social Saturday that he had received "great poll numbers" and added "Thank you!!!" — but he did not identify which survey he was citing.
That omission is notable because recent national polling paints a bleak picture for the president. The New York Times polling average published Saturday shows a 59% disapproval rating for Trump, up three points since the start of the Iran war, while his overall approval slipped from 41% to 38% over the same period.
Data analyst Nate Silver emphasized how stark the figures are. In a Friday analysis he noted that Trump’s 38.1% approval is the lowest of his second term and that his net approval has fallen to a new second-term low.
Silver’s key takeaways: After a small rebound earlier in the month, Donald Trump’s net approval has dropped to -20.6. His disapproval rating is approaching 60%, and just 21% of Americans strongly approve of the job he is doing.
At the comparable point in Trump’s first term, his net approval was 9.3 points higher (‑11.3). In fact, Trump’s current net approval is now lower than at any point in his first term, which previously bottomed out at -19 after January 6.
Meanwhile, CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten reacted to the numbers with several emphatic "woofs," highlighting what he called Trump’s top five polling drops. Enten pointed to the Iran war and the economy as major contributors to sliding support. He suggested the president call a random American to ask their view on the war, estimating a 75% chance that person would say Trump mishandled it.
On the economy, Enten stressed an unprecedented deficit in public confidence on inflation: he found no prior president with a negative 50-point or worse net approval on inflation before President Trump.
Taken together, the unnamed boast on social media and multiple data analyses underscore a widening gap between the administration’s public messaging and current public-opinion measures.
Originally published on Mediaite.
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